U.S. Analysis Warns: A Potential Strike on Iran Could Ignite a Regional War and Produce Counterproductive Results
A U.S. academic affirms that any military adventure led by Washington or the occupation entity would fail to achieve its objectives and would push the region toward further escalation.
NYN | Reports and Analyses
A U.S. writer and academic has warned of the dangers of the United States—and possibly the occupation entity—sliding toward a new military aggression against Iran, arguing that the growing indicators of a possible air campaign could lead to counterproductive outcomes at both the regional and international levels.
Uncalculated Escalation and Growing Concerns
In an analysis published by Foreign Policy, Mark Lynch, Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University, said that the escalation of public threats issued by U.S. President Donald Trump, alongside accompanying military movements, raises serious concerns about a reckless rush toward escalation.
Illusions of Past Success
Lynch noted that talk of U.S. strikes—possibly with the participation of the occupation entity—is fueled by Trump’s belief in the success of his previous experiences, foremost among them what he considers success in Venezuela, as well as the airstrikes carried out last year. He pointed out that the U.S. president is accustomed to dismissing expert warnings about the risks of such steps.
Old Pretexts for Regime Change
The writer asserted that any potential attack is primarily linked to “Israeli” pressure, and that the protests that ended days ago will be exploited as a pretext to revive an old objective of Washington hawks and the occupation entity: regime change in Iran.
Democracy by Bombing?
Lynch cast doubt on claims promoting the enhancement of democracy in Iran through military intervention, emphasizing that Trump’s domestic and foreign record undermines this argument. He added that the Iranian people would not welcome leadership imposed through foreign bombing or the installation of a dictator loyal to Washington and the occupation entity. Rather, any aggression—even amid public anger—would lead Iranians to rally more closely around their state.
The Specter of a Comprehensive Regional War
The American academic warned that Iran would not stand idly by, increasing the likelihood of a broad regional war. He noted that Gulf states do not appear ready to support such a scenario, as they prefer stability and oppose any confrontation that could open the door to widespread retaliatory attacks and an expansion of influence.
